Welterweight Shake-Up: Looking at possible scenarios post-UFC 158

 

We are days away from UFC 158, which takes place this Saturday March 16th, at The Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec. UFC 158 is going to have massive implications on the shape of the UFC’s welterweight division.
First of all lets look at the fight between Nate ‘The Great’ Marquardt and Jake ‘The Juggernaut’ Ellenberger. Marquardt is coming off of a loss, in his match against Tarec Saffiedine, at Strikeforce’s final event in January. Ellenberger is 1-1 in his last 2 in the UFC.
Needless to say, Marquardt needs a win on his return from exile from the UFC. It could also be argued that Ellenberger needs it just as bad. A win from either of these two guys will show that they are ready to compete in the upper echelons of the UFC.                                    
So you could argue that if Marquardt wins, he would jump a good few places in the queue. Ellenberger would potentially be a step closer to having his name mentioned in relation to a future title shot. Demian Maia is making waves at welterweight at the minute, and I would love to see a rematch between Maia and Marquardt. I have a feeling it would go a lot differently this time.
So how about Condit and Hendricks? Logic would tell you that the number 1 taking on the number 2 contender would be a match to decide who faces the winner of GSP/Diaz. The way I see it is, if Hendricks wins, he is undoubtedly the next to challenge for the welterweight crown. He has already been made to wait way too long.
Condit on the other hand will have to put in a truly dominant performance if he wants to be considered for a title shot. Another Diaz vs Condit type performance, in my opinion, won’t get him the shot. The reason being that Carlos Condit got squashed by GSP, and it would seem pointless to send him up for the same fight if his tactics haven’t changed. 
That is assuming that GSP is still champion after UFC 158. If Condit beats Hendricks, Diaz beats GSP, and Dana White puts Condit up for the title shot, then it will be a Condit vs Diaz title fight. We all know how that went last time.
If Diaz does get past GSP though, surely he will have evolved enough as a fighter to beat Condit in a rematch. Diaz had too many holes in his game, at UFC 143, and if the same Diaz shows up to fight GSP, I think St-Pierre will win with ease.
So what if Diaz and Hendricks win? These two guys would almost be guaranteed a fight of the night bonus just based on their styles. Diaz with his aggressive, stalking, technical boxing, and Hendricks with his heavy-handed, knock-your-head-off approach. 
That being said, if Hendricks does lose I would love to see Hendricks vs Marquardt/Ellenberger. The UFC welterweight division is so stacked right now. With the injection of ex-Strikeforce fighters, and the return of GSP, the division is shaping up to be the best in the world, bar none.
When you factor in guys like Jordan Mein, Robbie Lawler, Josh Koscheck, Mike Pyle, Gunnar Nelson, Rick Story, Paulo Thiago, Rory MacDonald and Patrick Cote just to name a few, the possibilities are truly endless.
If GSP still has a hold of his title after Saturday, he really is going to have a long line of really talented guys waiting to challenge him. Things are looking great for fight fans at the minute, and they can only get better in the UFC welterweight division. 
Thanks for reading, and stay tuned for more pre-UFC 158 coverage!

We are days away from UFC 158, which takes place this Saturday March 16th, at The Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec. UFC 158 is going to have massive implications on the shape of the UFC’s welterweight division.

First of all lets look at the fight between Nate ‘The Great’ Marquardt and Jake ‘The Juggernaut’ Ellenberger. Marquardt is coming off of a loss, in his match against Tarec Saffiedine, at Strikeforce’s final event in January. Ellenberger is 1-1 in his last 2 in the UFC.

Needless to say, Marquardt needs a win on his return from exile from the UFC. It could also be argued that Ellenberger needs it just as bad. A win from either of these two guys will show that they are ready to compete in the upper echelons of the UFC.                                    

So you could argue that if Marquardt wins, he would jump a good few places in the queue. Ellenberger would potentially be a step closer to having his name mentioned in relation to a future title shot. Demian Maia is making waves at welterweight at the minute, and I would love to see a rematch between Maia and Marquardt. I have a feeling it would go a lot differently this time.

How about Condit and Hendricks? Logic would tell you that the number 1 taking on the number 2 contender would be a match to decide who faces the winner of GSP/Diaz. The way I see it is, if Hendricks wins, he is undoubtedly the next to challenge for the welterweight crown. He has already been made to wait way too long.

Condit, on the other hand, will have to put in a truly dominant performance if he wants to be considered for a title shot. Another Diaz vs Condit type performance, in my opinion, won’t get him the shot. The reason being that Carlos Condit got squashed by GSP, and it would seem pointless to send him up for the same fight if his tactics haven’t changed. 

That is assuming that GSP is still champion after UFC 158. If Condit beats Hendricks, Diaz beats GSP, and Dana White puts Condit up for the title shot, then it will be a Condit vs Diaz title fight. We all know how that went last time.

If Diaz does get past GSP though, surely he will have evolved enough as a fighter to beat Condit in a rematch. Diaz had too many holes in his game, at UFC 143, and if the same Diaz shows up to fight GSP, I think St-Pierre will win with ease.

So what if Diaz and Hendricks win? These two guys would almost be guaranteed a fight of the night bonus just based on their styles. Diaz with his aggressive, stalking, technical boxing, and Hendricks with his heavy-handed, knock-your-head-off approach. 

That being said, if Hendricks does lose I would love to see Hendricks vs Marquardt/Ellenberger. The UFC welterweight division is so stacked right now. With the injection of ex-Strikeforce fighters, and the return of GSP, the division is shaping up to be the best in the world, bar none.

When you factor in guys like Jordan Mein, Robbie Lawler, Josh Koscheck, Mike Pyle, Gunnar Nelson, Rick Story, Paulo Thiago, Rory MacDonald and Patrick Cote just to name a few, the possibilities are truly endless.

If GSP still has a hold of his title after Saturday, he really is going to have a long line of really talented guys waiting to challenge him. Things are looking great for fight fans at the minute, and they can only get better in the UFC welterweight division. 

Thanks for reading, and stay tuned for more pre-UFC 158 coverage!


21 Comments

  1. Avatar of Brian Cox

    Brian Cox

    March 12, 2013 at 6:57 pm

    Should GSP beat Diaz and Hendricks also win, the only two people left for The Champ in the 170 will be Big Rig and Maia, given that Rush has stated that will never face his team-mate, Rory MacDonald. The only problem in this scenario, for me, is that I like Condit and will be looking for him to beat Hendricks.

    My own hopes aside, should it roll out that way and Hendricks wins and Maia were to garner another victory, himself, it would hard to envision a better exit strategy for GSP into either 185, Super-Fight(s) only or retirement. If The Champ can / could keep it together over those three projected fights (Diaz, Hendricks, Maia) there would be precious little, if anything, for Rush to prove @ 170. Subsequently, I believe if he takes those next three bouts, should they come to pass, I think we will see the end of GSP's reign @ 170 and that could well happen this year. Certainly no later than early 2014.

    To compound it, I think there will be a lot of pressure from Dana for Rush to move on and give The Division a new look, minus The Champ in the mix.

    If The Champ keeps winning, that's how I'd see it unfold in the Welter-Weight Division over the next 12 months.

  2. Avatar of UnderdogGreatness

    UnderdogGreatness

    March 12, 2013 at 7:30 pm

    When it's all said and done, Maia, without a doubt, will become the next WW champ.

  3. Avatar of Evan Holober

    Evan Holober

    March 12, 2013 at 8:28 pm

    War Robbie Lawler, War Nick Diaz, War GSP.

    Yes I understand that makes no sense.

  4. Avatar of kungfurule

    kungfurule

    March 12, 2013 at 8:59 pm

    "Carlos Condit got squashed by GSP…" you did see the 3rd round head kick right ? lol

  5. Avatar of Fletcherx

    Fletcherx

    March 12, 2013 at 10:08 pm

    What holes in Diaz's game are you talking about?

    • Avatar of IChokePeople

      IChokePeople

      March 13, 2013 at 11:47 am

      I was thinking that myself. He had no holes. The fight was close no matter how you call it (I had Condit ahead) but I saw nothing glaring. The only thing I would coach Diaz to do differently if he rematches Condit at some point is to take it to the ground asap. Condit looked amateurish for the little time that Diaz had him on the ground at the end. Had Diaz more time to work I think he could sub Carlos with little effort.

    • Avatar of KeithFarrell

      KeithFarrell

      March 13, 2013 at 12:13 pm

      Holes such as;
      not having a second gameplan to fall back on (or maybe not having a gameplan at all),
      chasing his opponent rather than cutting him off,
      not defending leg strikes,
      lack of interest in taking the fight to the ground where he is great,
      not having a varied enough striking offense.

  6. Avatar of Billy Jack

    Billy Jack

    March 12, 2013 at 10:39 pm

    I love GSP,but I think Nick Diaz is a bad match up for him. Newwwwwwww Welterweight Champion Nick Diazzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz!

    • Avatar of Zip

      Zip

      March 13, 2013 at 12:21 am

      Poor souls, I understand your loyalty to Nick, I like him, I do, but he will be dominated in every round where ever he wants to take it. Bad match up for Nick actually. Good luck to both :)

      • Avatar of IChokePeople

        IChokePeople

        March 13, 2013 at 11:58 am

        I keep going back and forth between your two positions. Nick is an interesting fight for Georges. He likes to take his opponents to where they are weakest. Diaz is very dangerous no matter where you take him. If Georges didn't want to go to the ground with Jake he will be terrified of going to the ground with Diaz. Standing up isn't much different. That said, GSP can grind diaz out all night if he is willing to risk it and his stand up is as good or better than Diaz aside from pure boxing. I have picked against GSP once and that was against Condit. The only reason I picked against him was the long lay off and the injury. As much as I think Diaz has the perfect style to beat Georges, I don't think he has the athleticism to back it up. GSP via decision.

        • Avatar of Evan Holober

          Evan Holober

          March 13, 2013 at 3:23 pm

          "If Georges didn't want to go to the ground with Jake he will be terrified of going to the ground with Diaz."

          Jake is a much better grappler than Nick. Nick has said himself on multiple occasions that Jake is the best guy he's ever rolled with.

  7. Avatar of mofocool

    mofocool

    March 13, 2013 at 3:41 am

    Nick is a Terminator..he is not gonna quit even is going to the hospital.I`d love to see a minimum 4 round fight because those guys dont get tired and it will be fireworks for sure.I would love Diaz to win because he brings it every time.He is a cardio freak and he deserve respect as a mma fighter.GSP is strong and a complete fighter but not that entertaining so ..Lets get it on!!!

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