UFC 166 LowKick Staff Predictions

UFC 166 is set to go down this Saturday, October 19, 2013, from the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. There are a myriad of exciting bouts on the card, but obviously none shine through more than the trilogy-ending title fight between UFC heavyweight champion Cain Velasquez and his arch nemesis Junior Dos Santos. Number two-ranked heavyweight will take n fan favorite Roy “Big Country” Nelson in the anticipated co-main event. Check out our staff predictions of UFC 166’s two main bouts:

Cain Velasquez vs. Junior Dos Santos:

Mike Drahota: This fight has to be the biggest trilogy grudge match in UFC history, and these two might not be done fighting even after UFC 166. While Velasquez looked nearly flawless in winning a one-sided decision over Dos Santos at last year’s UFC 155, I think that the deck was stacked in his favor. “Cigano” had suffered a serious kidney disorder from overtraining, and was going through a disappointing divorce. Those bad times have passed, and Dos Santos appears motivated and ready to reclaim his throne. Velasquez couldn’t finish Dos Santos, but we know “Cigano” can knock out Cain. Dos Santos via (T)KO, round 1.

Rory Kernaghan: Cain Velasquez has everything a great Heavyweight needs — superb cardio, top-level wrestling, solid striking and the will to win. The only thing that has let Velasquez down in the past is his chin. I don’t think CV has a glass jaw, but in the HW division and against Junior Dos Santos; any flaw can be costly. I expect JDS to utilize slick boxing and footwork to keep at a distance, thus nullifying Velasquez’s takedowns. Look for Cigano to land a huge overhand right somewhere in the middle rounds, after stuffing multiple shots from the Champ. Dos Santos via KO round 3.

Brian Cox: Regarding Cain Velasquez and Junior Dos Santos, as one will lose and the other win, and fans on both sides will say I told you so, I’ll just say this: I won’t be shocked by whoever wins. That said, I think Cain will execute the same gameplan to victory he did last time and this time, I don’t think it’s going to fly. I believe Junior learned a great deal from that loss and he’ll be looking to apply the lessons in this fight. Junior has been looking very dynamic of late and I think that new found dynamism, along with his overwhelming power will carry the day; winner by KO, round 1, Junior Dos Santos. Note: I hope I’m wrong, I’d love to see this fight go a few rounds, at least.

Daniel Cormier vs. Roy Nelson:

Mike Drahota: This is the fight where Cormier has to prove that all of his considerable hype is justified. He looked rather lackluster against Fran Mir in April, and Mir hasn’t exactly been a world-beater as of late. I can’t help but wonder if Cormier, with his endless talk of moving down to light heavyweight to face Jon Jones, is looking past Nelson here. Still, his Olympic level wrestling should still enable him to control “Big Country” throughout. Nelson is one of the toughest fighters to finish in all of MMA, so I’ll take Daniel Cormier with a clinching decision.

Rory Kernaghan: Daniel Cormier vs. Roy Nelson will be a one sided beatdown in my opinion. Cormier just has the advantage in so many areas — speed, power, agility and wrestling all go in DC’s favor. Nelson has a great chin and solid striking with KO power, but I don’t know if he has the tools to make the bomb land. Look for DC to grind out a decision against Big Country.

Brian Cox: In the case of Daniel Cormier vs. Roy Nelson, I think most would take Cormier. His wrestling is off the shelf, his power has power, he’s got a chin and he’s even developing a Jiu-Jitsu game. He’s a tank. Roy Nelson on the other hand, is a bit of wild card. Roy has looked brilliant at times and then not so great at others. Like Cormier, he packs incredible power and if Daniel takes the fight to the ground, then he needs to be mindful of “Big Country’s” formidable ground game. As I like underdogs, I’m going to pick Roy Nelson to shock the world with a third round stoppage of the powerful wrestler; Roy Nelson by KO in the third.



  1. Profile photo of tuputamadre


    October 18, 2013 at 11:14 am

    MD: Dos Santos via (T)KO, round 1.
    RK: Dos Santos via KO round 3.
    BC: winner by KO, round 1, Junior Dos Santos.

    Hahahaha…ok…we will see but I think you are all wrong…War Cain!!!

    • Profile photo of Brian Cox

      Brian Cox

      October 18, 2013 at 1:18 pm

      We could easily be wrong. Cain is a beast.

      I just think part of the problem is that Cain believes he's going to work the same game plan and to the same end, as he did last time. The Junior I'm seeing right now, I just don't think that's going to work and if the fight ends up becoming a kickboxing match, because Cain can't get Cigano down, I don't see him winning that fight. JDS is better all day at that game.

      Either way, I'm just stoked for this bout; can't wait.

      Enjoy the card, Tup.

      • Profile photo of dekciw


        October 18, 2013 at 3:06 pm

        Brian, cain is a champ for a reason, he got his lesson in their first fight. If you think he thinks JDS will fight the same way you underestimate Cain.

        Gracie once said: you can take anybody down, so if you think Cain won't take JDS down you are wrong

      • Profile photo of Entity


        October 18, 2013 at 6:47 pm

        I've been at lowkick for a loonngg time. I've seen all out wars and cursing about this guy will win,/ you dont know MMA, you're n idiot, blah blah blah. And MNAY times the fights turn out different than the majority say they will. Then the guys screaming the most are not seen for weeks or they leave all together. If you're going to take a hard line approach and convince others, be ready to eat crow when they turn out differently. Thats all Im saying. I pick a guy, but understand when an MMA fight turns out differently. NEVER do I take the 100% certain approach in MMA.
        If someone is that certain, make a thousand dollar bet and deal with it.

  2. Profile photo of Mike Drahota

    Mike Drahota

    October 18, 2013 at 11:22 am

    I love Cain, I hate to see either of these beasts lose really; it's just that Cigano looks so motivated and in a way better place than he was at this time last year.

  3. Profile photo of Brasil


    October 18, 2013 at 11:24 am

    Unfortunatelly I have Cain by sub round 4.

  4. Profile photo of Brasil


    October 18, 2013 at 11:25 am

    But Cain is also very Cool…the belt will be in good hands it does not matter who wins.

  5. Profile photo of DeeJaySlyTee


    October 18, 2013 at 12:52 pm

    Wow… A lot of peeps on Dos Santos Nut-Sack! Did you guys watch the last fight?

    • Profile photo of Brian Cox

      Brian Cox

      October 18, 2013 at 1:13 pm

      Yes, I did. And when it was over, I stood up and applauded Cain for the win.

      Both of these guys have demonstrated that they can beat one another. This time round, I think it's JDS's turn to win. He appears to be in remarkable shape and he looks like a kid in a candy store; happy. I just think this is his time.

      Either way DeeJay, it's going to be great.

      Enjoy the card and the bout tomorrow night.

      • Profile photo of dekciw


        October 18, 2013 at 2:56 pm

        Junior already know from last fight, that with every round Cain gets better, and he is getting worse. It's up to Junior if he is ready to take another beating for 5 round. If he is, he might win this time, but if he is not… well…

    • Profile photo of Entity


      October 18, 2013 at 1:43 pm

      Sooo DJSly, if you pick a fighter now, you're on his nutsack? Ooohhhhkaaayyy, I dont pick anyone to win.

  6. Profile photo of TheRealDeal


    October 18, 2013 at 1:18 pm

    I want JDS and Big Country to win by vicious KO's, but reality tells me that it will most likely be UD's by Cain and DC.

  7. Profile photo of UnderdogGreatness


    October 18, 2013 at 1:21 pm

    JDS via TKO – round 2

    What happened in their second fight was just an aberration.

  8. Profile photo of thexperience1


    October 18, 2013 at 3:29 pm

    Man…. JDS is not gonna beat CAIN guys… not happening! Maybe some other time but not tomorrow. DC is gonna put a WHOOPIN' on Roy… its gonna get ugly!

  9. Profile photo of Brasil


    October 18, 2013 at 3:44 pm

    Yeah Brian….I am trying not too look that much biased….

  10. Profile photo of chaos


    October 18, 2013 at 4:50 pm

    I'm surprised how much people are picking JDS to win. But I don't disagree, as much as I am a huge Cain fan I can see him getting caught with one of those bombs. But Cain rocked JDS hard in the 1st round, so I don't buy that he can't knock him out. JDS was pretty much a zombie after that punch.

    • Profile photo of thexperience1


      October 18, 2013 at 6:44 pm

      Yeah imagine that punch landing behind JDS ear… he'd be out! He has the power, he just needs to land it on the sweet spot! It blows my mind how people are talking about all JDS punching power like Cain has "none". They both have heavy hands… does JDS have the boxing advantage? Of course he does… but this is not a boxing match!

      • Profile photo of Brian Cox

        Brian Cox

        October 19, 2013 at 12:04 am

        TE, you know I generally agree with you call, as being reasonable, well informed and generally unbiased, but this time, I must respectfully disagree. I think JDS has win written all over him for this bout.

        I see this match as more fight one, than fight two.

        Enjoy the card tomorrow night.

  11. Profile photo of GoldenBibi


    October 19, 2013 at 1:38 am

    Cry Me A River… Cry Me A River… Amazing how many JDS Fans Are Out Their.. All the MMA sites, and even facebook… It's like 75% of the MMA fans all over the world are going for JDS….. Yet Cain will destroy Junior soon… So Cry me a river afterwards.. No more excuses for JDS…. War Cain…

  12. Profile photo of tuputamadre


    October 20, 2013 at 12:46 am

    BYE BYE JDS…now show some respect and shut up!! look at your face again…hahaha just like popeye….wow so nice to go to sleep now after watching that fight.

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